Bitcoin Price Analysis: Potential Breakout Looms as Three SMAs Converge
Bitcoin is on the verge of a major price breakout as its average price across three different time frames has fallen within a tight cluster, signaling a potential shift in direction. Real Vision’s chief crypto analyst Jamie Coutts highlighted this development, noting that Bitcoin’s short-term average prices have all converged within a 5% range.
On June 4, the simple moving average (SMA) for Bitcoin indicated a convergence across the five-day, 30-day, and 50-day periods, with all three intervals falling between $65,000 and $68,239. This low volatility over an extended period typically raises hopes for a potential breakout, although it could also lead to a price retrace.
Currently trading above the three SMAs at $70,840, Bitcoin is considered a “Strong buy” according to TradingView’s moving average indicator. This indicator takes into account both the SMA and the exponential moving average, suggesting that the moving average could serve as a new support level if the price falls.
Traders are closely watching the $71,040 price level as the next step towards reaching Bitcoin’s all-time high of $73,679. Despite holding above the key support level of $60,000 over the last 30 days, Bitcoin has yet to reach $72,000, peaking at $71,946 on May 21.
While the direction of Bitcoin’s breakout remains uncertain, Coutts pointed out the rise in the number of United States banks “on the brink of collapse” during the first quarter of 2024. The U.S. Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation reported a 21% increase in the number of banks on the “Problem Bank List,” reaching 63 banks.
With the potential for a significant price movement on the horizon, traders and investors are closely monitoring Bitcoin’s price action to capitalize on any potential breakout.